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April 23, 24, 25 storm chase expedition a go
We just made Matt's flight reservation from Raleigh to Oklahoma City on Sunday evening after he leaves his work. This means we're pretty much committed to this trip. I may be leaving here as early as tomorrow afternoon (Saturday) to make it a more leisurely drive to get to OKC in time for the 10PM flight arrival.
The GFS is waffling again on early May, so we're back to equal percentages for our main storm chase expedition.
Based on the current outlook, this probability table charts the chance of our trip starting on a particular date:
| 2007 Storm Chasing Expedition - Departure Date Probability as of April 20 |
| Red - main expedition; Blue - April 22-30 |
| April 22-30 | 99% | |
| No April trip | 1% | |
| May 1-10 | 24.5% | |
| May 11-20 | 24.5% | |
| May 21-31 | 24.5% | |
| June 1-15 | 24.5% | |
| No main trip | 2% | |
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