|Saturday, April 24, 2010 - 7:47AM CDT
DAY 4: SE MO/S IL/W KY/W TN
Update 7:58AM Saturday, (Posted via Office from New Baden, IL):* * *
Here at home, currently thinking southern Illinois/Western Kentucky as the target for today. The high risk area will be an early show, a long drive, and through a convective mess of numerous storms. Again, tornadoes are likely down there, but with storms already firing everywhere, the drive south would be crazy. I like southern Illinois for the combination of low-level wind fields, instability and upper dynamics. Those parameters are abundant down south, but they are also showing themselves up here - and I would much rather keep the closer play when it looks viable. Models are showing a little more instability into S IL/W KY later this afternoon - and a greater tornado threat area may very well be shifted northward into this area. Current thinking is to head east on I-64 first and eventually drop south at some point.