Storm Highway by Dan Robinson
Storm chasing, photography and the open roadClick for an important message
Home | Blog Index | Blog Archives | Christianity & Faith Essays | Storm Chasing Essays

                   Sunday, March 10, 2019

Chase forecast update for March 10

By DAN ROBINSON
Storm Chaser/Photographer
25 Years of Storm Chasing
Important Message
Dan's RSS/XML feed
Dan's YouTube Video Channel

Let's take a quick look at the upcoming weather model forecasts on this Sunday evening. The bad news: no chaseable setups are shown on the horizon. We do have this strong trough plowing across the continental US during the middle of next week:


NAM 500mb pattern forecast for March 13

Instability on the warm side of this system is shown as being meager, so much so that it's not even looking that good for lightning in the Midwest, much less any chaseable severe weather. Though this could improve in the coming days, the Euro and GFS (and now the NAM) are in pretty good agreement.

The good news is that there is no winter weather of any consequence showing up within the 7 to 10 day period. In fact, models only have us dropping below freezing on two nights late next week. The period is shown as being rather mild - not quite t-shirt and shorts weather, but no coat and gloves conditions either! It's a nice break from what we've been seeing, and a sign that we're moving right along on that highway toward the heart of chase season.

In some other news, this week I made a big equipment addition to the toolbox that I'm very excited about. Stay tuned to the blog and the Youtube channel!

The following table charts the probabilities for a Plains chase expedition taking place for the date ranges shown:

2019 Plains Chase Expeditions - Probabilities as of March 10
March 11-150%
March 16-210%

25 Years of Storm Chasing
Important Message
Dan's RSS/XML feed
Dan's YouTube Video Channel

This web site is made possible by support from CIS Internet.
CIS Results-Oriented Internet Marketing

GO: Home | Storm Chasing | Photography | Extreme Weather Library | Stock Footage | Blog

Featured Weather Library Article:

Lightning types
Anvil crawlers, bolts from the blue, sheet, ribbon and bead lightning. Learn how to identify each!
More Library Articles

All content © Dan Robinson. All usage requires a paid license - please contact Dan for inquiries.

Web Site Design and Internet Marketing by CIS Internet