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Interesting long-range outlook
I will be in Pratt, Kansas on a non-storm observing, church-related trip from April 11 to April 14. So naturally, these maps for Wednesday, April 10 on today's GFS are quite interesting to me.
I won't be able to observe storms much if at all while I'm there, and this setup will really need to slow down and move northward a little for me to be able to see any of it on Friday the 11th (my first full day there). If it does slow down a day or so, I may be able to get a quick Plains expedition in this season after all. Interestingly, the GFS has this trough really digging as it moves east, bringing some very cold 850mb temps down over WV through the 15th. The 0°C surface isotherm (freezing line) never drops south of WV though, which makes me breathe a little easier. This is also on the tail end of the almost-useless operational GFS 14 day forecast, which makes it closer to a 'guesscast' at this point. However, it has been showing up pretty consistently for the last 5-6 consecutive runs. At any rate, things look to be very active in the next couple of weeks, including some flood potential in WV over the next 2 to 3 days.
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