May 16: Forecast update - Possible positives
We are cautiously optimistic about next week's observing prospects. While we are still dealing with volatile model consistency, it appears more and more that next week will be the time. Although the jury is still out on whether a major western trough will form and move inland, signs of possible smaller-scale setups for severe weather appear increasingly likely.
Based on the current outlook, this probability table charts the chance of our trip starting on a particular date:
| 2006 Storm Photography Expedition - Departure Date Probability as of May 16 |
| May 15-20 | 0% | |
| May 21-27 | 60% | |
| May 28-June 4 | 35% | |
| No trip | 5% | |
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