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October weather roundup
Tropical Storm Karen quickly succumbed to the effects of detrimental wind shear this weekend, and is no longer a threat. East of Karen's remnants, TS Melissa is rapidly suffering the same fate and should be gone in the next day or two - leaving no tropical activity of note in the Atlantic. The 2007 hurricane season will be slowly winding down over the next month, with prospects for a Gulf or Atlantic coast landfall decreasing.
Fall Severe Weather Season
The transition from summer to winter brings with it the potential for a few outbreaks of severe storms and tornadoes - similar to its spring counterpart, but not as prolific. Models indicate several strong mid- and upper-level troughs sweeping across the US during the coming week, bringing chances for tornadoes from the Plains to the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. A chase or two may be in order in the Indiana-Kentucky-Ohio region next week if these forecasts pan out.
Snow, ice and freezing temperature season is only a couple of weeks away in West Virginia. By the second week of October, most of WV should have seen its first frost. At least light mountain snowfall is common in the last two weeks of October. Models are already forecasting snowfall and freezing temperatures for the upper midwest this week, though there is no sign of sub-32°F lows showing up for the central Appalachian region through the end of next week.
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