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                   Wednesday, May 6, 2015

Event forecast update for May 6: Trip 1 in progress

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The first Great Plains weather expedition of the 2015 spring season is under way! This system promises several good opportunities for tornadoes as good upper support from a western US trough overspreads instability in the Plains. This system has already brought photogenic tornadoes in Texas and Kansas yesterday and today.

I'm heading in a general westerly direction into Kansas, and will choose either I-35 southwest or I-70 west to target tomorrow's setup. Stay tuned for updates!

The following table charts the probability of a Great Plains weather expedition happening for several indicated date ranges in the near future:

2015 Plains Storm Expeditions - Probabilities as of May 3
May 7-10100%
May 11-1530%

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