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Early taste of spring
Finally, a whole week with a normal sleep pattern! A much-needed central-eastern US ridge will create a significant, prolonged warmup for the eastern 2/3 of the US. The mountains will keep us from getting the full benefits of the southerly surface flow, but we may break 60 on Saturday and should see all of our snow cover gone over the weekend. A small trough swings through late next week, but currently models don't show it being a huge arctic monster like the ones we've been dealing with.
There are a couple of systems shown on model output (I posted the stronger one below shown coming in Wednesday night) that suggest thunderstorm chances next week, but as I mentioned, the mountains are going to block us from getting nice slugs of moisture from the Gulf. Dewpoints are shown having a hard time breaking 50°F through the week. A strong front or low can still produce storms with that, but it's less likely. Storms are more certain in the Plains in the next few days, though - where the dews should hit 60°F. Nice for them when you don't have mountains blocking your moisture return!
GFS precip for Wednesday night
|"Storms are more certain in the Plains in the next few days."
You on chase standby then Dan ?|
- Posted by Mick from United Kingdom
|Not yet...at most it looks like a wind, lightning and hail event out there. Nice, but not enough to travel for. I'm hoping I'll get some lightning close to home, there seems to be a decent chance at that.|
- Posted by Dan R. from Charleston, WV